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Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.The lowest temperature in the suburbs of Shanghai will fall below freezing point from Sunday. Today, the sky is cloudy and the rain is intermittent during the day. The temperature difference throughout the day is small, and the temperature in most areas is between 6~9℃. The highest temperature in Xujiahui Station in Shanghai during the day is only 7.9℃. The humidity is high, coupled with the northerly winds, and the wet and cold body feels doubled. Tomorrow is still a cold day. There are many cloud systems in Shanghai, mainly cloudy to cloudy, with weak precipitation and some short-term light rain in some areas. The wind is less than today, with northerly winds of 3-4 and coastal areas along the Yangtze River of 4-5. The temperature is between 6~11℃ and the relative humidity is 90%-60%. Affected by strong cold air, there was a strong wind and cooling process in Shanghai from 13th to 14th. At noon on the 13th (Friday), cold air began to affect Shanghai, and the temperature dropped. It is estimated that the minimum temperature will drop by 3 ~ 5 degrees in urban areas and 6 ~ 8 degrees in suburbs during the 48-hour period from 13th to 15th. The lowest temperature in most suburbs will be below freezing point from 15th to 18th. The lowest temperature of the process appeared on the morning of 15th and 16th, and the urban area dropped to about 3℃, while the suburbs of Chongming, Jinshan, Fengxian and Qingpu were-3℃ to-4℃, with thin ice or freezing. (Weather in Shanghai)Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut. After the CPI report was released, swap traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut before the end of 2025. They now predict that by that time, they will cut interest rates by 87 basis points, which means that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. In 2025, there will be another two interest rate cuts of 25 basis points each time, which is less than the four times proposed by Fed officials in the latest quarterly bitmap in September.

After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.Ethereum rose to 5% to $3,750; Bitcoin rose 3.4%, approaching $99,000.Analyst Kaye: Consumer energy prices rose slightly month by month in November, but dropped by more than 3% compared with the same period last year. The prices of all kinds of gasoline dropped by more than 8% year-on-year. According to the data of the Automobile Club of the American Automobile Association, the average price of gas stations has been falling in recent weeks, approaching the threshold of $3 per gallon.

STOXX Europe 600 Index rose by 0.25% after the US CPI data was released.After the publication of CPI in the United States, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December has almost been fully priced. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 2.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 97.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.7%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 71.2%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 27.1%.German Chancellor Angela Scholz submitted an application for a vote of confidence, and German Chancellor Angela Scholz sent a request to Parliament on Wednesday to hold a vote of confidence on December 16th, thus paving the way for early federal elections next year. Since the collapse of the coalition of political parties led by Scholz, the policy-making in Europe's largest economy has basically stagnated. If, as expected, Scholz loses the vote of confidence, he must ask the President to dissolve Parliament and hold a new election. Scholz and the opposition parties unanimously agreed to hold a general election on February 23rd next year. Last week, French Prime Minister Banier lost in a vote of no confidence, which highlighted the unusual political instability faced by these two European powers.